The last mile - November EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

  • Australia: soft-landing playing out
  • Japan: JPY breadth confirms depreciation in contrast to late 2022
  • UK: disinflation becomes consensus, waiting for the next divergence
  • Norway: inflation breadth still elevated
  • Mexico: political risk unlikely to derail longer-term outlook
  • Brazil: slight shift in BCB tone, but cuts still base case
  • India: elections due Q2 2024
  • South Korea: inflation risks amidst equity intervention
Leading Indicator WatchAustraliaJapanUKNorwayMexicoBrazilIndiaSouth Korea